Both the PAC and Polar Jets, will have there way this winter, producing a more stormy and snowy winter in these regions. Opposite from last winter, the Sub-tropical or Southern branch, will be quite weak and non-existent for much of the winter. Northern and interior portions of New England will have the best chance for Below Normal temperatures and Above Normal snowfall.
The Deep South, Tenn. Valley, and into the SE States, will have a greater than normal threat for Severe weather this winter, especially in the months of December and February. The overall pattern for the Eastern U. The coldest weather and best chance for snow events, will most likely occur during the early and later stages of the winter season. There will be several Arctic outbreaks throughout the winter season in which temps will really plummet for a day period.
Most storm systems during this time, will track overhead, or just to the north and west. This is where I see the best chance of a more significant snow and ice event. Those of you who follow my winter forecasts and storm calls during the winter seasons, know how much I rely on, and factor in key teleconnections, to making my calls and mid range forecasts.
This forecast worked out very well, and the results transpired nicely with the overall winter forecast. A more near neutral, to slightly negative signal will be most common for the winter season. The PNA will also be near neutral, but will also be variable, going slightly positive and negative at times.
So overall our 3 main teleconnection will average out rather flat. A less amplified flow and more zonal for the southern half of the CONUS, and more amplified, for the northern half of the country. Below is my best estimate for the NAO signal with a monthly breakdown. Here's my forecast for the NAO signal, with Monthly breakdowns. In this segment I've attached all my maps, to summarize my overall Winter Outlook. These maps best illustrate my outlook for the month's of: December, January, February, and March.
These maps indicate the overall Anomalies for both "Temperatures" and "Precipitation" for the 4 month period. Snowfall: 3" to 4" or Near Normal. Snowfall: 5 to 7" or Near Normal. March: - 1. We covered my winter forecast on the show. Newer Post Older Post Home. Local Breaking news and the stories that matter to your neighborhood. Lehigh County 50 mins ago. First Alert Weather 9 hours ago. Back to Article. Close Menu. Search for:. Local Tokyo Olympics U.
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Link Icon. Wood Updated Oct 1, Published Oct. Anthony R. Wood Email.
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